Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.558760 0.616860 0.680928 0.757281 0.846414 0.947935 1.073417
2025-10-12 0.474681 0.555459 0.652502 0.779744 0.945407 1.158590 1.462127
2025-10-19 0.418796 0.508484 0.622382 0.781726 1.006015 1.322647 1.828661
2025-10-26 0.372483 0.464061 0.585036 0.762513 1.027599 1.430458 2.140260
2025-11-02 0.335985 0.426998 0.550981 0.739912 1.036239 1.515860 2.438421
2025-11-09 0.308291 0.398438 0.524508 0.723071 1.048380 1.606386 2.774691
2025-11-16 0.285798 0.374733 0.501962 0.708270 1.059799 1.696155 3.142853
2025-11-23 0.267277 0.354948 0.482934 0.696012 1.072482 1.789780 3.559489
2025-11-30 0.257699 0.347272 0.481130 0.710985 1.135147 1.996106 4.358702
2025-12-07 0.245073 0.333970 0.469229 0.707173 1.161762 2.133779 5.059137
2025-12-14 0.233730 0.321752 0.457895 0.702793 1.186169 2.272985 5.865073
2025-12-21 0.219971 0.304900 0.437737 0.680391 1.170385 2.312423 6.361060
2025-12-28 0.216521 0.304251 0.444580 0.709044 1.268847 2.677384 8.528846
2026-01-04 0.211446 0.300716 0.446372 0.728699 1.352866 3.043073 11.332570
2026-01-11 0.203829 0.292527 0.439446 0.730446 1.396135 3.309793 14.179395
2026-01-18 0.193876 0.279902 0.423816 0.712988 1.389912 3.418137 16.264079
2026-01-25 0.184263 0.267336 0.407463 0.692434 1.372666 3.485063 18.263856
2026-02-01 0.176148 0.256876 0.394225 0.677102 1.366476 3.591893 21.042801
2026-02-08 0.168887 0.247507 0.382386 0.663616 1.363087 3.710690 24.505726
2026-02-15 0.162450 0.239239 0.372066 0.652438 1.364260 3.850988 29.043880
2026-02-22 0.159741 0.237207 0.373105 0.666090 1.437144 4.332260 42.695893
2026-03-01 0.155005 0.231429 0.366748 0.662615 1.460386 4.610424 56.231054
2026-03-08 0.150498 0.225847 0.360429 0.658622 1.481588 4.896011 75.633742